AFL Grand Final 2022 tips, predictions, winners

The best and most in-form teams in the AFL will collide on Saturday as Geelong takes on Sydney at the MCG.

And even though the red-hot Swans enter the match with a nine-match winning streak, the Cats have been emphatically backed to win their 10th AFL premiership.

See all 22 experts’ premier, Norm Smith Medal and first goalkicker tips — and the full final verdict.

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DERMOTT BRERETON

premier: Geelong by 9 points — “They were the best team of the season by winning two matches more than any other team. And their form hasn’t been dipped.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

JONATHAN BROWN

premier: Geelong by 28 points

NATHAN BUCKLEY

premier: Geelong by 13 points – “If they played 10 times, Geelong win six of them and Sydney win four.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

BEN COTTON

premier: Geelong by 12 points — “They’ve been the best team all year and there’s a sense of destiny that Chris Scott will lead them to another flag.”

Norm Smith Medal: Mitch Duncan (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tom Papley (Sydney)

BEN DIXON

premier: Sydney Swans by 14 points — “Geelong is hard to fault and deservedly favourites, but the Swans in my opinion are the best team in the league at taking away your strengths as a team. If they can take away Geelong’s weapon, they win — and I think they can!”

Norm Smith Medal: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

First goal kicker: Lance Franklin (Sydney)

JASON DUNSTALL

premier: Geelong by 12 points — “They’ve been the best team all year … they can’t let this opportunity slip.”

Norm Smith Medal: Cameron Guthrie (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Jeremy Cameron (Geelong)

CATH DURKIN

premier: Geelong by 15 points — “Hard to go past them. Had both tight and thumping wins on the lea- in which should set them up nicely. The management of bodies throughout the season also looks to have them in the box seat.”

Norm Smith Medal: Tom Stewart (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

CATHERINE HEALEY

premier: Geelong, 12 points — “Like they did against the Lions, it will be the Cats’ small forwards who step up with Sydney’s McCartin brothers doing the job on Cameron and Hawkins.”

Norm Smith Medal: Tom Stewart (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tom Papley (Sydney)

MARK HOWARD

premier: Geelong by 24 points

Norm Smith Medal: Cameron Guthrie (Geelong)

ANTHONY HUDSON

premier: Geelong by 5 points — “Toss of the coin as the Swans can worry them, but if they can withstand the pressure the Cats should win. I can’t really tip against them.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Hayden McLean (Sydney)

BRAD JOHNSON

premier: Geelong by 20 points — “I reckon Patrick Dangerfield will set the tone and have one of the best first quarters in Grand Final history.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Jeremy Cameron (Geelong)

DREW JONES

premier: Geelong by 11 points — “The best side all year will produce on the game’s biggest stage.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Brad Close (Geelong)

MAXLAUGHTON

premier: Geelong by 12 points — “Even if the Swans bring pressure, the Cats are too good not to dominate the match for a little while, at least. That should be enough.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Isaac Heeney (Sydney)

KATH LOUGHNAN

premier: Sydney by 15 points – “The Swans’ elite pressure over four quarters, coupled with their dynamic forward line and underrated backline line, will get the job done.”

Norm Smith Medal: Luke Parker (Sydney)

First goal: Tom Papley (Sydney)

ALASTAIR LYNCH

premier: Geelong by 23 points — “I just feel Geelong have larger depth of mature talent who may handle the pressure of the occasion better. Plus Geelong’s ability to generate a spare down back is something many clubs haven’t been able to negate.”

Norm Smith Medal: Jeremy Cameron (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

LEIGH MONTAGNA

premier: Geelong by 11 points — “They have too much firepower.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Lance Franklin (Sydney)

CAMERON MOONEY

premier: Geelong by 4 points — “To be brutally honest, I wouldn’t be surprised if Sydney won because I think Sydney in the last six weeks have been just about the best pressure team — and in my opinion come Grand Final day, the team that can apply the most pressure for longer win the game. But Geelong has the best side and if they play at their best, they win.”

Norm Smith Medal: Tom Atkins (Geelong) — “He’s built for finals footy.”

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

MATTHEW PAVLICH

premier: Geelong by 8 points

Norm Smith Medal: Cameron Guthrie (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Brad Close (Geelong)

JON RALPH

premier: Geelong by 9 points — “Cameron and Stengle the game-breakers despite Sydney’s pressure turning this into an old-fashioned scrap.”

Norm Smith Medal: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

NICK RIEWOLDT

premier: Geelong by 3 points

Norm Smith Medal: Cameron Guthrie (Geelong)

BEN WATERWORTH

premier: Geelong by 12 points — “There’s something different about this Geelong outfit. A professionalism we haven’t seen from a team since probably the Hawks of 2015. They’ll be able to adapt to the conditions and tempo of the game with aplomb and be too classy when it matters most.”

Norm Smith Medal: Tom Stewart (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

DAVID ZITA

premier: Geelong by 15 points — “No weaknesses, firing on all cylinders, theirs to lose. Only a Buddy masterclass can stop them at this point.”

Norm Smith Medal: Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

First goal kicker: Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

FINAL VERDICT

premier

20 — Geelong Cats

2 — Sydney Swans

Norm Smith Medal

8 — Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)

4 — Cameron Guthrie (Geelong)

3 — Tom Stewart (Geelong)

1 — Tom Atkins (Geelong), Tyson Stengle (Geelong), Jeremy Cameron (Geelong), Isaac Heeney (Sydney), Mitch Duncan (Geelong), Luke Parker (Sydney)

First goal kicker

6 — Tyson Stengle (Geelong)

3 — Tom Papley (Sydney)

2 — Lance Franklin (Sydney), Brad Close (Geelong), Jeremy Cameron (Geelong)

1 — Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong), Isaac Heeney (Sydney), Hayden McLean (Sydney)

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